Polymarket Trader

0x1dE3f769E001E26B31BEd494C9b60eDA4F57c880-1783095092392

0x1de3f769e001e26b31bed494c9b60eda4f57c880

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.1
Realized PnL: $4.1
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $48.8
Potential payout: $64.21
Potential profit: $15.41
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.09
Potential profit: $14.09
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.41
Potential payout: $8.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $5.41
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $2.87
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 92% 5.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Down 16% 12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Down 25% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?

Yes 40% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 97% 18.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 79% 6.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 79% 6.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 79.1% 6.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 59% 28.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 53% 9.43 shares