Polymarket Trader

cantchange

0x1df606ddfa330f8a3e5a661e2860909b85f0b6af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.27
Realized PnL: $168.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.25K
Potential profit: $10.25K
User PnL: -$10.25

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$10.04

No position

Will "Michael" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.76
Potential profit: $278.76
User PnL: -$4.75

No position

Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.37
Potential profit: $265.37
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Doris Matsui advance from the CA-07 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.11
Potential profit: $60.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.09
Potential profit: $56.09
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.5
Potential profit: $51.5
User PnL: -$11.34

No position

Will Adam Gray advance from the CA-13 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

No position

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.19
Potential profit: $39.19
User PnL: -$8.62

No position

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Angela Gonzales-Torres advance from the CA-34 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $26.99
Potential payout: $27.12
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $15.87

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.17
Potential profit: $25.17
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.29
Potential profit: $24.29
User PnL: -$5.83

No position

Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.18
Potential profit: $23.18
User PnL: -$5

No position

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.28
Potential profit: $22.28
User PnL: -$10.25

No position

Will "Mother Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.26
Potential profit: $21.26
User PnL: -$5.53

No position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $20.28
Potential payout: $20.51
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $10.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

No position

Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

No position

Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

No position

Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

No position

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

No position

Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Will Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

No position

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.35

No position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

No position

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

No position

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Major US official out by May 31?

No 55% 9.09 shares
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 41% 12.2 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

No 52% 9.62 shares
Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?

No 21.6% 23.18 shares
Will Angela Gonzales-Torres advance from the CA-34 primary election?

No 15% 33.33 shares
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

No 41.4% 12.06 shares
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?

No 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

No 33.1% 15.11 shares
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?

No 8.5% 53.41 shares
Will Doris Matsui advance from the CA-07 primary election?

No 8.3% 60.11 shares
Will Adam Gray advance from the CA-13 primary election?

No 10% 50 shares
Will Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?

No 40% 12.5 shares