Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $19.21
- Potential payout
- $30.02
- Potential profit
- $10.81
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $8.21
Polymarket Trader
shaoqiyidian
0x1df8ba53445ee97ad19602772134269222259cf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.88
- Realized PnL
- $7.1
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $7.89
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?Yes 36.8% 27.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?Yes 38% 7.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?Yes 29% 10.34 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 4?Yes 0.1% 1.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Yes 99.8% 2.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 4?Yes 59% 1.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 4?Yes 70% 1.43 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 4?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Prince Adu Kwabena: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals26.9% 7.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?Yes 70% 1.43 shares