Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.75
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$22.75
Polymarket Trader
0x1e06...50be
0x1e069d11bba3b9ea1c635c91f48788e8327950be
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $69.75
- Realized PnL
- -$2.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $47.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $22.75
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $9.57
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $23.43
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.72
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.4% 16 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 86.3% 6 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 59% 8 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 23% 33 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 32% 5 shares