Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $450
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $99.55K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$550
Polymarket Trader
ezel-de
0x1e0dcfb541ef1d0ccd3f928749e746813b17bd03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $679.83
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.82K
- Potential profit
- $3.82K
- User PnL
- -$210.25
No position
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.44K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- User PnL
- -$253.47
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $220.54
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$8.45
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $178.7
- Potential profit
- $169.41
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- $3.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.56
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $175.96
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 1,852.3 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1% 100,000 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No 4.4% 1,222.5 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 20% 65.98 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 8.5% 66.8 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No 8.9% 1,336.49 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 86% 33 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 86% 223 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 86% 1,748 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 935.55 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No 17.5% 51 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No 19% 377 shares