Polymarket Trader

ConfusedUngaBunga

0x1e109e389fb9cc1fc37360ab796b42c12d4bbeee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.85
Realized PnL: $6.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 47 and 48 million views on day 4?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.28K
Potential profit: $6.28K
User PnL: -$6.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $3.16K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will New Zealand be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $658
Potential profit: $657.01
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.59

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $658
Potential profit: $653.07
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.59
Potential payout: $658
Potential profit: $652.41
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $649.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $645.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $645.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $645.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $645.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $645.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will there be 45+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $634.99
Potential profit: $629.91
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Jovo Lukić: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $52.69
Potential payout: $631
Potential profit: $578.31
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $46.38

Yes position

Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $628
Potential profit: $624.23
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Noah Okafor: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $19.15
Potential payout: $628
Potential profit: $608.85
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 47 million views on day 4?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $627.99
Potential profit: $627.99
User PnL: -$6.28

Yes position

Will there be 50+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $534.99
Potential profit: $530.98
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Alex Ferguson be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $524.97
Potential profit: $524.71
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Qatar win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $479.81
Potential profit: $478.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.12

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-3.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $466
Potential profit: $463.2
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.86

Curaçao position

Spread: Curaçao (-5.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $6.99
Potential payout: $466
Potential profit: $459.01
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $2.33

Iraq position

Spread: Iraq (-5.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $465
Potential profit: $462.68
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.33

Curaçao position

Spread: Curaçao (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $465
Potential profit: $462.68
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$2.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under 2.5 position

Blockx vs. Engel: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $680.2

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $605.54

Yes position

Will "The Murder of Rachel Nickell" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $510.72

Karmine Corp Blue position

LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.44

Brace position

Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Sachia Vickery vs Cadence Brace

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.32

Over position

Avalanche vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $282.78

No position

Will Las Vegas Sands (LVS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $267.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.35

No position

Will Delfino Pescara 1936 win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $241.11

Over position

Louisiana vs. Troy: O/U 47.5

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.32

Spizzirri position

Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Eliot Spizzirri

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212

Mandlik position

ATX Open, Qualification: Jennifer Brady vs Elizabeth Mandlik

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.67

Shapovalov position

BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Casper Ruud

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.25

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159

Wizards position

Spread: Wizards (-7.5)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.82

Under position

Derby County FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.44

Panthers position

Spread: Panthers (-1.5)

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming position

LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.72

Up position

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.97

Up position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.5

Wizards position

Spread: Heat (-15.5)

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ghana win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.9% 9.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?

Yes 2% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 18?

Yes 3% 44.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 14% 7.85 shares
SlingshotDAO FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 1.5% 23.53 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13?

Yes 1% 101.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 13?

Yes 1% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on June 13?

Yes 1% 65.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 13?

Yes 1% 318 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13?

Yes 1% 20.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 13?

Yes 0.9% 20.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 13?

Yes 0.9% 70 shares