Polymarket Trader

0x1E1497A547c95DaB99F82434AbfB25cFe886C804-1762713525944

0x1e1497a547c95dab99f82434abfb25cfe886c804

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.19K
Realized PnL: $669.81
Win rate: 59.1%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $806.25
Potential payout: $4.3K
Potential profit: $3.49K
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $401.95

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$279.85

No position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $930
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $10.07

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $305.34
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 4.34x
User PnL: $79.35

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $122.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $877.5
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$60.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$294

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.1%
Current value: $110.47
Potential payout: $999.71
Potential profit: $889.24
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $20.49

Yes position

Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $345.83
Potential payout: $634.55
Potential profit: $288.72
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $140.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $459.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$62.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$196

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $42
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $258
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$126

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$164

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $171
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $5.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.02

Yes position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.96

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.42

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Monday press conference?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 66% 372.73 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? AND Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

5.6% 178.57 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 224.72 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 79% 189.87 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 63% 500 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 300 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

24.8% 201.7 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 64% 50 shares
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 26% 50 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 82% 200 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares