Polymarket Trader

0x1e1D8AbC80DA6932aF585d517FC10445c6Ee1c4b-1767891120281

0x1e1d8abc80da6932af585d517fc10445c6ee1c4b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $243.69
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $23.92
Potential payout: $6.83K
Potential profit: $6.81K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$23.07

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.25
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$25.32

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $23.8
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$6.79

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $29.7
Potential payout: $928.11
Potential profit: $898.41
Multiplier: 31.25x
User PnL: -$11.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $11.81
Potential payout: $787.14
Potential profit: $775.34
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.35
Potential payout: $352.22
Potential profit: $348.87
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $12.78
Potential payout: $340.92
Potential profit: $328.13
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.22

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $291.03
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $267.49
Potential profit: $265.49
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.99

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.68
Potential payout: $218.75
Potential profit: $214.07
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $22.31
Potential payout: $209.53
Potential profit: $187.21
Multiplier: 9.39x
User PnL: $8.31

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $187.9
Potential profit: $185.27
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $167.08
Potential profit: $163.07
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $160.57
Potential profit: $157.44
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?

Ends Aug 13, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $14.42
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $100.96
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $111.39
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $1.61
Potential payout: $91.86
Potential profit: $90.25
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $87.72
Potential profit: $83.82
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $81.08
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $76.29
Potential profit: $74.99
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $9.37
Potential payout: $74.62
Potential profit: $65.26
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $68.93
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.71

Yes position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.61

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.43

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.26

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.14

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.39

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.79

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.32

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.17

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.71

No position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Yes 5.8% 42.41 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 65.22 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Yes 10.2% 41.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 11% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 29% 3.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 26% 3.96 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Yes 2.1% 52.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Down 32% 4.31 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 2.7% 425.93 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 340.9 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 2.3% 236.6 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Yes 11.9% 17.54 shares