Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $13.6
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $99.26
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
Polymarket Trader
Mertdillice
0x1e2dcac86b5024acbe1d8790b72ab27f996b3f6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.61
- Realized PnL
- -$3.51
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $47
- User PnL
- -$2.02
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $19.49
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $10.4
- Potential payout
- $10.59
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Cavaliers position
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Nottingham Forest FC position
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Yes position
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 28?Yes 9% 11.09 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?No 53% 9.13 shares
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes 33% 10.94 shares
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?Yes 9.2% 17.17 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.8% 112.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 25?No 74% 1.35 shares
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers 53% 1.89 shares
- Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?No 83% 1.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 25?No 78% 2.77 shares
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC 41% 2.44 shares
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?Yes 65% 2.26 shares