No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $563.64
- Potential payout
- $579.58
- Potential profit
- $15.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$7.36
Polymarket Trader
salmongolf
0x1e306fb4955d783491ba6686e849d69cb38a6710
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $568.58
- Realized PnL
- $4.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 98.5% 579.58 shares
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 4 FC Bayern München?Yes 99.9% 75.08 shares
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 4 FC Bayern München?Yes 99.9% 500.5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 97.9% 424 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 88.3% 160.67 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?No 4% 110 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 31% 9.72 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 64% 214 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 30.6% 204.17 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 64% 210 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes 28% 209.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp 69% 4.89 shares