Polymarket Trader

ytsadxzbcv

0x1e3dd7d3316457ba03f2524286becd7bb6b82656

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $778.75
Realized PnL: $903.67
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.76
Potential profit: $275.76
User PnL: -$91

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $231.08
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $39.19
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $31.08

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $205.37
Potential payout: $219.3
Potential profit: $13.93
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.1
Potential profit: $179.1
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $157.34
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$46.05

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.66
Potential profit: $155.66
User PnL: -$33

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $133.35
Potential payout: $147.35
Potential profit: $14
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $33.35

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $13.98
Potential payout: $147.15
Potential profit: $133.17
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$31.02

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $131.25
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $31.25

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $73.46
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $115.21
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$26.54

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.79
Potential profit: $105.79
User PnL: -$48

Gen.G position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.06
Potential profit: $97.06
User PnL: -$66

Dplus KIA Challengers position

LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.9
Potential profit: $94.9
User PnL: -$30.37

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.52
Potential profit: $77.52
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $34.88
User PnL: -$30

RED Academy position

LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.16
Potential profit: $23.16
User PnL: -$19.92

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$2.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Nurix Therapeutics (NRIX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.34

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.29

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.75

Eagles position

Super Bowl LIX Winner

Ends Feb 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5PM ET

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.06

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 31% 161.29 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

RED Academy 86% 23.16 shares
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Dplus KIA Challengers 32% 94.9 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 91.2% 219.3 shares
Trump out as President by March 31?

No 99.5% 221.11 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 67% 26.87 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 81% 123.46 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

No 74% 270.27 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 67.9% 147.35 shares
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

No 85% 27.06 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 24% 116.67 shares