TRHU

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.55
Potential profit: $217.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $113.79
Potential payout: $125.73
Potential profit: $11.94
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $23.79

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.01
Potential profit: $120.01
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $109
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $72.43
Potential profit: $66.27
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.14
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $39.32
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $43.81
Potential profit: $19.06
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.65
Potential profit: $40.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $34.94
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $34.56
Multiplier: 9.85x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $12.86
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $22.86
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $35.53
Potential profit: $35.28
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$14.75

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $14.83
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $20.06
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $3.49
Potential payout: $34.86
Potential profit: $31.38
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.6%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $34.31
Potential profit: $28.62
Multiplier: 6.02x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $33.74
Potential profit: $33.44
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will the US strike 7 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.11
Potential profit: $33.11
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $32.72
Potential profit: $29.61
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.47

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.21

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.63

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.88

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.52

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.33

Yes position

Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.19

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.9

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.51

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.59

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?