Polymarket Trader

TheACK

@TheACKx

0x1e499f764363ba4ba973b11c4a24b9577a7bcc2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.61K
Realized PnL: $8.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.48K
Potential profit: $20.48K
User PnL: -$162.55

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.67K
Potential profit: $5.67K
User PnL: -$968.03

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $418.97
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.13K
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$69.83

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.14K
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $277.83
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $905.82

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $791.96
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $731.04
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $464.75

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $364.19
Potential payout: $888.28
Potential profit: $524.09
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $151.7

Yes position

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $567.51
Potential payout: $793.72
Potential profit: $226.21
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $222.64

No position

Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $622.77
Potential profit: $622.77
User PnL: -$217.97

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $267.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $232.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $37.5

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 36.2%
Current value: $181
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $319
Multiplier: 2.76x
User PnL: $136.02

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $11.26
Potential payout: $312.91
Potential profit: $301.65
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.79
Potential profit: $305.79
User PnL: -$116.2

Yes position

Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $248.09
Potential payout: $254.97
Potential profit: $6.88
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $30.59

No position

Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $243.39
Potential payout: $244.12
Potential profit: $0.73
User PnL: $7.91

No position

Cap FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $165.07
Potential payout: $166.4
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $131.74
Potential payout: $132.6
Potential profit: $0.86
User PnL: $15.26

Yes position

Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $20.37
Potential payout: $81.47
Potential profit: $61.1
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Cap launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $61.29
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $4.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.24

Yes position

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $537.47

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $509.8

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.34

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.39

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.86

Yes position

Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249

No position

SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Score

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.99

Yes position

Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.37

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.76

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.17

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.4

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.98

Yes position

zkSync airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.74

Up position

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.3

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 56% 207.79 shares
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 23.9% 888.28 shares
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 20 shares
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 20 shares
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 20 shares
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 97.9% 40 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 39% 110.99 shares
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Yes 39% 474.94 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46% 500 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.9% 1,449.28 shares
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Yes 57% 32.6 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 312.91 shares