Polymarket Trader

aurora1

0x1e50438b2423fc725fc2e6bd557cd8b76b8698f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.5
Realized PnL: $2.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$18.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $797.43
Potential profit: $797.43
User PnL: -$26.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $661.07
Potential profit: $661.07
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.25
Potential profit: $540.25
User PnL: -$35.57

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.59
Potential profit: $519.59
User PnL: -$199.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $456.37
Potential profit: $456.37
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $399.98
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.78
Potential profit: $391.78
User PnL: -$19.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $359
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will White House post 100-119 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.15
Potential profit: $281.15
User PnL: -$17.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.23
Potential profit: $253.23
User PnL: -$41.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.97
Potential profit: $246.97
User PnL: -$71.94

Yes position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.34
Potential profit: $244.34
User PnL: -$23.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.58
Potential profit: $230.58
User PnL: -$10.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.88
Potential profit: $220.88
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.26
Potential profit: $219.26
User PnL: -$14.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.96
Potential profit: $212.96
User PnL: -$12.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.98
Potential profit: $209.98
User PnL: -$18.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.01
Potential profit: $203.01
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will White House post 120-139 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.15
Potential profit: $201.15
User PnL: -$28.07

Yes position

Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.42
Potential profit: $200.42
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.34
Potential profit: $200.34
User PnL: -$47.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.19
Potential profit: $200.19
User PnL: -$40.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.94

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.8

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.41

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.07

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.61

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.84

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.6

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.22

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.57

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.04

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 23% 55 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 21% 10 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 21% 10 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 28% 50 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 27% 50 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 43% 50 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 23.5% 100 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 50 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 2,500 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 70% 45.7 shares