Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $759.95
- Potential profit
- $759.95
- User PnL
- -$262.84
Polymarket Trader
ZZY1989
0x1e582c3f0ddf6e2e7c1aaf98f3dd68cd598cf540
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $72.35
- Realized PnL
- $1.24K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$288
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $66.55
- Potential payout
- $510
- Potential profit
- $443.44
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$87.17
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $394.2
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $527.71
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.99
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $88.81
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.2
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.98
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 58.3% 22.73 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 0.1% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No 97.8% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No 98.2% 100 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 6% 202.05 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes 59.8% 100 shares
- Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?No 12% 100 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?Yes 99.4% 80.1 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 0.1% 20 shares
- SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes 82% 100 shares