No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Polymarket Trader
0x1e61...ba75
0x1e618be6003b3d594eb43e764aeb1172db38ba75
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.99
- Realized PnL
- -$4.17
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $7.11
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.41
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 66% 7.11 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 51.4% 8.6 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?No 74% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 78% 2.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes 54% 9 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 96% 6.06 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 23% 6.09 shares
- Will Warsh say "Job" 15+ times during June Press Conference?No 54% 3.67 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 57% 3.05 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes 40% 3.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?Yes 28% 6.61 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 73% 6.59 shares