No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Polymarket Trader
lexisciel3554
0x1e69478f5910431fac2103013533ebf4e7863a4e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $3.26
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?
Ends Apr 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Marco Rubio be out as Secretary of State in Trump's first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Liberal Party win less than 35% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 44°F or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Conservative Party win by 0–24 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 2.7% 68 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 69% 29 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 43 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 53% 86 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.6% 35 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 97.9% 46 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 98.8% 42 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 94.5% 43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 44 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.2% 44 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No 95.6% 46 shares