0x1e7565263d17Bbf133E4aB9d8423Ec695FDd63F1-1776023416348

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $131.23
Potential profit: $131.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $118.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $93.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.24
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $78.57
Potential profit: $75.79
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Aaron Baker be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $67.68
Potential profit: $67.55
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $65.83
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $63.26
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $63.95
Potential profit: $63.92
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $52.97
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $53.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $53.94
Potential profit: $53.54
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $52.36
Potential profit: $51.18
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $50.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $50.99
Potential profit: $50.76
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $50.99
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $47.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $47.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $47.78
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $47.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $47.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.65

Oxuji Esports position

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.89

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.97

Ilbirs eSports position

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.53

GIANTX position

Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Diamond Dolphins position

Diamond Dolphins vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Over 2.5 position

Ryan Dickerson vs. Juan Carlos Prado: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Ilbirs eSports position

Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

Weibo Gaming position

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Under position

Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.97

Under position

Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Over position

Jets vs. Utah: O/U 7.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Yes position

Will Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2