No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.1
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Polymarket Trader
0x1e7a...4da0
0x1e7a3ea865f80c1eb783ffba28fa56ffd3174da0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.45
- Realized PnL
- $11.34
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $8.65
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.92
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $5.14
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.3%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $4.96
- Potential profit
- $0.92
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $3.6
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 6.05 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 72% 6.08 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes 57% 8.65 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 58% 3.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 46% 3.5 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 77% 4.96 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 30% 7.1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 58% 8.14 shares
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?Yes 44% 8.75 shares