Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Simyi
0x1e8551c1bb306810eb0d3edb8c45ee8515c88aaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $105.51
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$6.22
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.06K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
Yes position
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $3.43K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $20.68
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$14.32
Yes position
Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $39.07
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $13.08
Yes position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $14.01
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$178.4
Yes position
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$13.12
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.66
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$127.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$293.96
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Yes position
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$245.21
Yes position
Will the US strike Yemen next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $983
- Potential profit
- $983
- User PnL
- -$4.27
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $961.07
- Potential profit
- $961.07
- User PnL
- -$36.24
Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $896.4
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $899.99
- Potential profit
- $899.99
- User PnL
- -$7.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.81
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.28
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $195.23
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.74
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.62
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.12
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.16
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.65
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.66
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.55
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.9
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.96
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.89
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62.81
Yes position
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.07
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.17
Yes position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.02
Yes position
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.47
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.82
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $29.67
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?Yes 4.8% 828.95 shares
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.5% 400 shares
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.9% 46.02 shares
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 1.4% 1,000 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 18.4% 43.45 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 8.9% 112.35 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 7.7% 103.25 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Yes 8% 73.35 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71% 16.25 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 9.8% 69.96 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?Yes 12.6% 33 shares