Polymarket Trader

MoriaCrew

0x1e8d0fce68d2c1fe126f91455a89c1174ff529ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.8
Realized PnL: $1.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $235
User PnL: -$21.35

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $142.88
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$12.87

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $40.74
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.25
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $24.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $15.2
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $21.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $18.2
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $28.7
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$7.71

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $17.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.7
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $10.3

Yes position

Spain to score first vs. Argentina?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $12.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.62

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.53

Spain position

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Spain 73.2% 136.52 shares
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 2% 10 shares
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

Over 41.2% 12.12 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?

No 16.7% 29.88 shares
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 2.4% 15.57 shares
Will France vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 3.2% 72.46 shares
Will France vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 6.9% 72.46 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-18?

Yes 88.9% 22.5 shares
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 32.1% 15.58 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-18?

Yes 44.1% 22.68 shares