Polymarket Trader

RoyJail

0x1e99d63fc23e994d86d13fa8e2ee0449154d6a09

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $316.25
Realized PnL: $226.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $131.7
Potential payout: $135.5
Potential profit: $3.79
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $30.75
Potential payout: $60.95
Potential profit: $30.21
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.83
Potential profit: $57.83
User PnL: -$52

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $19.57
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $24.69
Potential profit: $24.14
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$5.44

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $21.77
Potential payout: $24.06
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $15.46
Potential payout: $20.75
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $20.28
Potential profit: $17.74
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $17.04
Potential payout: $18.82
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $12.57
Potential payout: $17.83
Potential profit: $5.26
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $8.17
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $9.02
Potential payout: $9.33
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $3.17
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $7.97
Potential payout: $8.1
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $5.54
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.2%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $6.02
Potential payout: $6.14
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $5.01
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $4.33
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5.33
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.39

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.95

Over position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

No position

Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

Yes position

Will Solana reach $90 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in July?

No 96% 2.08 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.3% 1.02 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.7% 1.07 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Over 91% 1.1 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5

Over 70% 1.43 shares
GTA 6 launch postponed again?

No 91% 4.4 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 2.04 shares