Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$158.44
Polymarket Trader
SoMuchSun
0x1ea5666c7211df2c4ef6a9a96ddc219cd2fcfd88
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.25K
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $894.64
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $694.64
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $358.25
- Potential payout
- $555.43
- Potential profit
- $197.18
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.73
- Potential profit
- $145.73
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $282.57
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $242.67
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.66
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.65
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.07
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.52
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.02
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.4
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.04
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
Yes position
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.08
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.94
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 73.1% 523.55 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 65% 555.43 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 9.9% 1,012.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 19.1% 523.55 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 10.4% 962.26 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 17.1% 586.39 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 13.6% 736 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 16.9% 1,322.4 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 29.9% 376.54 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 45.7% 376.55 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6% 3,652.27 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 5.4% 6,366.47 shares