Yes position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $106.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5K
- Potential profit
- $12.39K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Polymarket Trader
Balph
0x1ea6679e57bebf8a9e7fe781de70a01802d087b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $491.89
- Realized PnL
- $2.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.71K
- User PnL
- -$73.61
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $72.64
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$27.36
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $37.04
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$162.96
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $462.56
- Potential profit
- $462.56
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $397.2
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$97.2
No position
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.35
- Potential profit
- $324.35
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.84
- Potential profit
- $304.84
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.49
- Potential profit
- $291.49
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
XRP Up or Down on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261.54
- Potential profit
- $261.54
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.01
- Potential profit
- $259.01
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $31.85
- Potential payout
- $241.28
- Potential profit
- $209.43
- Multiplier
- 7.58x
- User PnL
- $6.85
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $215.12
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $17.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.61
- Potential profit
- $223.61
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump say "Erdogan" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.21
- Potential profit
- $209.21
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $188.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.32
- Potential profit
- $185.32
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump say "Trump" during Hungary PM events on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.34
- Potential profit
- $173.34
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.81
- Potential profit
- $166.81
- User PnL
- -$100
Blue Jays position
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.98
- Potential profit
- $161.98
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $26.19
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $132.54
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.81
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.92
- Potential profit
- $151.92
- User PnL
- -$15.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike 1 country in October 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.59
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.91
Yes position
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.99
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.75
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.28
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.65
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.24
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $71.43
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.89
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
No position
French election called by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.93
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59
Blue Jays position
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.74
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.63
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.83
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.1
No position
Will Trump say the "N word" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.48
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 14% 723.81 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 83% 240.96 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No 99.7% 200.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 9.5% 1,055.42 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97.2% 205.69 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 101.63 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 384.61 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 120.48 shares
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes 53% 188.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 10.4% 965.09 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 71.3% 280.65 shares