Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.07
- Potential profit
- $115.07
- User PnL
- -$111.04
Polymarket Trader
0x1ecbA6467c9FF27Cbedd738364380933Eeee9296-1770668539221
0x1ecba6467c9ff27cbedd738364380933eeee9296
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $307.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.24
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.21
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.15
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.91
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.12
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84.8% 46.49 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No 83.6% 203.75 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes 96.5% 115.07 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes 97.4% 114 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No 94% 41.09 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.1% 46.48 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 87.7% 24.31 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No 92.2% 162.67 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 97.8% 175.17 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes 93% 114 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 87.4% 68.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No 99.9% 166.19 shares