Polymarket Trader

20YrsOfBoredom

0x1ecc91dbd13963efbaa305262a23164c68eb53a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.61K
Realized PnL: $10.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $19.31K
Potential payout: $19.4K
Potential profit: $87.3
User PnL: $3.49K

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.67K
Potential profit: $5.67K
User PnL: -$2.26K

Yes position

Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $185.38
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $274.36

Yes position

Will Jeremy Swayman win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.54
Potential profit: $699.54
User PnL: -$10.14

Yes position

Will Frederik Andersen win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will "Titaníque" win Best Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$232.39

Yes position

Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.9
Potential profit: $249.9
User PnL: -$7.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69K

No position

Will Trump say "unrealized" during California rally on October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.93

Yes position

Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.98

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.53

No position

Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?

Ends Jul 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.51

Yes position

Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.74

Yes position

Will Daniel Lurie win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $428.43

No position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.04

Yes position

Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.51

Yes position

Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.5

Yes position

Will Noah Wyle win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.59

Yes position

Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.45

Yes position

Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.78

Yes position

Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.62

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.79

Yes position

Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.1

Yes position

Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.63

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.79

Yes position

Will Seth Rogan win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.19

No position

Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.62

No position

Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Sep 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.37

No position

Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.71

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.87

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

No 34% 102.01 shares
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes 75% 35 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 19.9% 155 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Logan Stankoven win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Yes 5.7% 44.2 shares
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Yes 57.8% 36 shares
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Yes 59.7% 40 shares
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?

Yes 59.3% 20 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 67% 290 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 28.9% 407.75 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 37.2% 1,631 shares
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

No 74.9% 108.66 shares