Polymarket Trader

Poplly

0x1eedcfe156adf1113896067536360a950ee408bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.95
Realized PnL: $60.18
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$54.6

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $43.95
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

No 97.4% 22.59 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?

No 97% 20.62 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 60.97 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 55.86 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

No 95% 21.05 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 60.98 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 55.87 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

No 94% 21.09 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 87% 22.99 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.9% 82.87 shares