Polymarket Trader

0x1EF3494f173914072bC5dE2E3dB0460DDB1227Fb-1770781937671

0x1ef3494f173914072bc5de2e3db0460ddb1227fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.71
Realized PnL: $5.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $64.71
Potential profit: $64.23
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.61

Up position

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $3.66
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1.58

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.43

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.1
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $1.65
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.08
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 93% 1.55 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 91% 1.09 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.7% 64.71 shares
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 96% 1.54 shares
Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?

No 79% 1.24 shares
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 92% 1.08 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 94% 1.06 shares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17?

Up 99.9% 1.02 shares
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?

Up 99.9% 1.21 shares
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?

Up 81.4% 1.21 shares