Polymarket Trader

stomppad

0x1ef535da14f5313cb5afad574e882548de2aee29

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.54
Realized PnL: $298.76
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375.37
Potential profit: $375.37
User PnL: -$162.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $17.59
Potential payout: $90.89
Potential profit: $73.3
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.58
Potential profit: $36.58
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $35.64
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.2%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $28.41
Potential profit: $20.39
Multiplier: 3.54x
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $24.14
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $23.33
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $23.16
Potential profit: $21.76
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.62
Potential profit: $22.62
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.36
Potential profit: $14.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $7.94
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.45

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.84

Yes position

India military action against Pakistan before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38

Yes position

US-China trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.39

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.01

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 25 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 16% 12.5 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 8% 12.5 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 41% 15.15 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 33% 15.15 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 40% 10.52 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.7% 24.15 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 53% 7.55 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 87% 22.99 shares
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 0.2% 25 shares