hawk11

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $139.82
Potential payout: $169.48
Potential profit: $29.66
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $18.64
Potential payout: $169.48
Potential profit: $150.84
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $123.2
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will James Graf win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $135.87
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Kathleen Taylor win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $139.06
Potential profit: $129.2
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$28.62

Yes position

Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $120.97
Potential payout: $139.05
Potential profit: $18.08
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $29.69

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $85.05
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $19.95
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $19.27
Potential payout: $94
Potential profit: $74.73
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Mauro Garza win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $79.65
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Esteban "Steve" Guerra win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $74.25
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Robert Luna win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $69.6
Potential payout: $84.88
Potential profit: $15.28
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Alex Villanueva win the 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.06
Potential payout: $84.88
Potential profit: $76.82
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $40.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $9.75
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $35.1
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $31.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $8.2
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the PA-10 House seat?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $21.9
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $20.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $26.07
Potential payout: $27.88
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $18.6
Potential payout: $21.26
Potential profit: $2.66
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Raquel Carter win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $10.98
Potential payout: $17.16
Potential profit: $6.18
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $11.96
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$2.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.42

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $5.09

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.76

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 9.8%
Multiplier: 10.26x
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?

Implied probability: 84%
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?

Implied probability: 21%
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?