No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $61.87
- Potential payout
- $73.22
- Potential profit
- $11.35
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.87
Polymarket Trader
7542242
0x1f183e685b9e0e761db9495825e8324759bfdc6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $607.4
- Realized PnL
- $90.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $36.34
- Potential payout
- $69.21
- Potential profit
- $32.87
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $58.98
- Potential payout
- $68.18
- Potential profit
- $9.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.8%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $60.93
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $53.62
- Potential payout
- $60.59
- Potential profit
- $6.97
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.51
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $49.15
- Potential payout
- $52.29
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.75
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $39.93
- Potential payout
- $46.33
- Potential profit
- $6.39
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $29.08
- Potential payout
- $41.85
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $29.57
- Potential payout
- $39.96
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.6%
- Current value
- $21.71
- Potential payout
- $33.11
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $19.91
- Potential payout
- $32.91
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $25.41
- Potential payout
- $31.56
- Potential profit
- $6.16
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $17.95
- Potential payout
- $24.93
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $18.73
- Potential payout
- $22.57
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $14.48
- Potential payout
- $21.29
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $17.43
- Potential payout
- $20.5
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $10.21
- Potential payout
- $19.45
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $17.87
- Potential payout
- $18.67
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $17.18
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $14.61
- Potential payout
- $16.51
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $6.54
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.2%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $3.56
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $2.67
- Potential payout
- $3.46
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.49
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $20.84
Yes position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $6.49
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
N
No position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 15-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Yes 67.1% 33.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 57% 69.21 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 87% 37.97 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?No 92% 19.88 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 84% 2.15 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 77% 37.97 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No 86% 60.59 shares
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82% 81.08 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?No 68.4% 60.93 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 91% 89.55 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes 82% 20.5 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.2% 2.53 shares