Polymarket Trader

0x1f2f9d32e6c8cab6d67f52325ba09a7d4ea31e8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.03
Realized PnL: $161.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.44
Potential profit: $104.44
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $73.49
Potential payout: $97.33
Potential profit: $23.85
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $33.49

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $43.93
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$8.48

No position

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.25
Potential profit: $40.25
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$18.2

No position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.65
Potential profit: $24.65
User PnL: -$4.05

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$7.14

No position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.32
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.11

Yes position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.84

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

Yes position

Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Russell position

Hamilton vs. Russell

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 46% 20 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 44.9% 11.14 shares
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 45.2% 11.06 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 6.7% 41.93 shares
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?

Yes 67% 104.44 shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 31% 41.94 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 41.1% 97.33 shares
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?

Yes 9.9% 20.2 shares
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?

Yes 5% 10 shares
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?

Yes 5% 8.33 shares
Nine-Darter at the PDC World Darts Championship?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares