Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840
- Potential profit
- $840
- User PnL
- -$378
Polymarket Trader
0x1F394877C509b4aD0DB9a6AaA2775CC637a1921f-1770374499710
0x1f394877c509b4ad0db9a6aaa2775cc637a1921f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $276.59
- Realized PnL
- $22.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $711.77
- Potential profit
- $711.77
- User PnL
- -$284.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.9
- Potential profit
- $649.9
- User PnL
- -$259.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $517.95
- Potential profit
- $517.95
- User PnL
- -$347.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $458.26
- Potential profit
- $458.26
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.12
- Potential profit
- $449.12
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $265.97
- Potential profit
- $265.97
- User PnL
- -$43.62
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.72
- Potential profit
- $189.72
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $183.96
- Potential profit
- $183.96
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.89
- Potential profit
- $157.89
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $92.93
- Potential payout
- $103.55
- Potential profit
- $10.61
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $92.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.53
- Potential profit
- $93.53
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $56.94
- Potential payout
- $80.77
- Potential profit
- $23.83
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $56.94
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $73.17
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.39
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.69
- Potential profit
- $70.69
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $64.93
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $64.93
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $59.78
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $59.78
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.25
- Potential profit
- $61.25
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.81
- Potential profit
- $48.81
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.97
- Potential payout
- $46.88
- Potential profit
- $44.91
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $1.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 74% 20.27 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 21.33 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 90% 42.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 67.9% 36.84 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.2% 63.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 54.79 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 52.8% 37.88 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 91% 32.97 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 18.29 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 46.88 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 86.7% 23.07 shares