Polymarket Trader

Equanimity

0x1f3cb370d14004196863611346bb57667b43434f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.89K
Realized PnL: -$73.54K
Win rate: 42.1%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $7.89K
Potential payout: $228.7K
Potential profit: $220.81K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.66K
Potential profit: $119.66K
User PnL: -$749.89

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.75K
Potential profit: $12.75K
User PnL: -$637.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.05K
Potential profit: $9.05K
User PnL: -$676.21

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.65K
Potential profit: $7.65K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9K
Potential profit: $6.9K
User PnL: -$92.12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$908.42

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$56.73

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95K
Potential profit: $5.95K
User PnL: -$883.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23K
Potential profit: $5.23K
User PnL: -$246.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$174.95

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.25K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$79.43

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$615

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$444.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.75K
Potential profit: $4.75K
User PnL: -$164.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$130.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$560.44

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.63K
Potential profit: $3.63K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.56K
Potential profit: $3.56K
User PnL: -$77.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?

Ends Nov 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12K

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.42K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.28

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $334.18

Yes position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.86

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.7

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$83.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$145.48

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$218.28

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$530

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$998.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.16K

No position

Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.62K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81.27K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 5,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 6,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 5,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 10,000 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 39.3% 1,500 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 15,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 10,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 25,000 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 2,400 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3% 5,000 shares