Polymarket Trader

mlequo

0x1f42c0ee30835deb378507b121292b8aab788680

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $257.29
Realized PnL: $2.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$8

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.61
Potential profit: $171.61
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $5.2
Potential payout: $86.01
Potential profit: $80.8
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $78.33
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $18.12
Potential payout: $80.52
Potential profit: $62.4
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.78
Potential payout: $74.37
Potential profit: $63.59
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$9.22

No position

Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $54.12
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $53.37
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.67

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $14.52
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $33.1
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $44.94
Potential payout: $46.05
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $24.94

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $45.48
Potential profit: $44.39
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$18.91

Yes position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $15.65
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $27.83
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $5.65

No position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $17.86
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $70 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $33.33
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $23.33

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $17.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $13.91
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $7.34

No position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $18.78
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.2%
Current value: $16.05
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $8.95
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $6.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.09

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Canadiens position

Canadiens vs. Lightning

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Atlanta Braves position

Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.42

St. Louis Cardinals position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.67

Chicago White Sox position

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.67

Chicago White Sox position

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.67

Minnesota Twins position

Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.64

Under position

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.04

Los Angeles Angels position

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.04

Minnesota Twins position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.04

Cincinnati Reds position

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.06

Chicago White Sox position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.25

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.86

St. Louis Cardinals position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.06

Arizona Diamondbacks position

New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.06

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Timberwolves position

Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.06

Tampa Bay Rays position

San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.06

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.06

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.06

Athletics position

Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.51

Raptors position

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?

Up 18% 55.56 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?

Down 37% 27.03 shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 in May?

No 31% 32.26 shares
Cervia: Ivan Ivanov vs Franco Roncadelli

Ivan Ivanov 43% 23.26 shares
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand

New Zealand 33% 30.3 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes 11.6% 86.01 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

No 17% 58.82 shares
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Yes 10% 100 shares