Polymarket Trader

passionately

@AmourHorns43255

0x1f517a74391e63b155113104708cb5520a3f09ad

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $65.4
Realized PnL: $4.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $62.7
Potential payout: $418
Potential profit: $355.3
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$83.6

Yes position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $48.34
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.8
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $616.56

Yes position

Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.4

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $383.68

Yes position

Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $272.08

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 8 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.07

Yes position

Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.65

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.5

Over position

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.24

Yes position

Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $145.96

Yes position

Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.8

Morgan State Bears position

Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.32

Yes position

Will Dispatch win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.74

Yes position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $124.08

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "El Salvador" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.75

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.7

Yes position

Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.63

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.27

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.95

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.62

Yes position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.28

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

No 88% 131 shares
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?

No 88% 131 shares
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 29% 575 shares
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

No 33% 876 shares
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

No 39% 876 shares
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No 30% 575 shares
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

No 54% 519 shares
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

No 4% 399 shares
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

No 4% 443 shares
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

No 69% 519 shares
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

No 35% 842 shares
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves

Pepperdine Waves 49% 1,906 shares