No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $10.08K
- Potential payout
- $10.85K
- Potential profit
- $764.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $194.35
Polymarket Trader
TommyKFCV50
@CryptoTommyL
0x1f6a73522a44513cd40c435a24310ac471dfbe7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.24K
- Realized PnL
- $13.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
KT Rolster Challengers position
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $9.7K
- User PnL
- -$9.7
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $3.89K
- Potential payout
- $4.12K
- Potential profit
- $237.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $39.18
No position
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$2.73K
No position
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.98K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- User PnL
- -$2.92K
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$82.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$127.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$6.32
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $906.22
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $326.73
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$74.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $30.91
Yes position
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $460
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$116.74
Dignitas position
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$429.99
No position
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Current value
- $391.39
- Potential payout
- $472.12
- Potential profit
- $80.73
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$60.18
Yes position
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$231
No position
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $110.54
- Potential payout
- $117.6
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Multipli.fi FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $34.98
- Potential payout
- $66.63
- Potential profit
- $31.65
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$18.55
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $48.29
- Potential payout
- $48.9
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $25.63
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $37.6
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $5.55
- Potential payout
- $37.02
- Potential profit
- $31.47
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $14.46
- Potential payout
- $18.07
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5.06
No position
Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $14.06
- Potential payout
- $14.97
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $4.93
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $973.67
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $863.97
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.59
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $699.49
No position
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.19
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.25
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.59
Yes position
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $310.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309
No position
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.32
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.02
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.12
Yes position
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.47
Yes position
Will Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.16
Yes position
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.48
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.83
Yes position
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.61
No position
Immunefi FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $174.7
Yes position
Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.49
Yes position
Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 79.5% 1,232.93 shares
- o1 FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 98.9% 102.6 shares
- Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.2% 80.85 shares
- Tea FDV above $40M one day after launchYes 7.3% 470 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?No 62.9% 75.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?No 65.4% 107.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?No 70% 49.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?No 93.3% 1,724.18 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?Yes 0.2% 4,461.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?Yes 10% 834.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?Yes 0.5% 1,322.96 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes 0.2% 980.46 shares