Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $318.29
- Potential payout
- $3.74K
- Potential profit
- $3.43K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$129.7
Polymarket Trader
0x1F6B3CCAcd92bEE2Bbc40d68D0f626f4Ca0491B9-1774130035223
0x1f6b3ccacd92bee2bbc40d68d0f626f4ca0491b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $550.51
- Realized PnL
- -$324.78
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $205.49
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$94.51
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $26.35
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $283.65
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $164.75
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$13.2
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $5.79
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.81
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70.3
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$236.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 7% 171.43 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 98.4% 10 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 8.2% 150 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 7.8% 15 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 11% 100 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes 12% 200 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 78% 10 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 39% 17.33 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 312.5 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes 22% 136.36 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 24% 416.67 shares