Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $96.03
- Potential payout
- $519.06
- Potential profit
- $423.03
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$30.62
Polymarket Trader
hz05715
0x1f77d73bfa2f1056a91e231a851d1f6eb0ef6dca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.87
- Realized PnL
- $78.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $101.65
- Potential payout
- $109.89
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.6
- Potential profit
- $109.6
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $100.3
- Potential payout
- $108.43
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.09
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.51
- Potential profit
- $54.51
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.97
- Potential profit
- $25.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.1%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $9.57
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.98
- Potential profit
- $6.98
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 24?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Marin Cilic position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Sorana Cirstea position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tatjana Maria vs Sorana Cirstea
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 83% 108.43 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes 52.2% 9.57 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 59.7% 8.37 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?No 99% 141.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?Yes 98.2% 50.92 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 69% 2.9 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes 86% 6.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 3?Yes 95% 5.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 95.4% 126.31 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 24.4% 519.06 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 95% 126.32 shares