Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $387
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$315
Polymarket Trader
Iamnotabot2
0x1f7d87ffe5780874118990b9ba0d040157baaa8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $387
- Realized PnL
- $286.17
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $198
No position
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $9.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.38
BIG position
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0
Magic position
Pistons vs. Magic
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 65% 24.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27.8% 47.85 shares
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes 11.1% 646.78 shares
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes 11.2% 145 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 461.73 shares
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes 11.5% 432.56 shares
- Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes 11.5% 1,500 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?No 33% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 90.3% 71.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 1% 110 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 24% 23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 12.3% 108.12 shares