Polymarket Trader

lecroissant

0x1f7ffa3efbbe5d075d7c3eefe98dce9d8f05f514

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.33K
Realized PnL: $507.78
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $64.71
Potential payout: $129.41K
Potential profit: $129.35K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$93.57

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $520.39
Potential payout: $115.64K
Potential profit: $115.12K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $161.67

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $57.8
Potential payout: $115.59K
Potential profit: $115.54K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$57.8

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $302.07
Potential payout: $54.92K
Potential profit: $54.62K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $27.46

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.35K
Potential profit: $40.35K
User PnL: -$80.7

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $99.86
Potential payout: $39.95K
Potential profit: $39.85K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $108.57
Potential payout: $31.02K
Potential profit: $30.91K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$22.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $232.74
Potential payout: $18.62K
Potential profit: $18.39K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $60.42

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $211.73
Potential payout: $10.33K
Potential profit: $10.12K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $53.03

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $365.52
Potential payout: $10.33K
Potential profit: $9.96K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $176.47

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $217.62
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$132.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $147.91
Potential payout: $157.35
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $23.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: $114.94

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $84.38

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.4

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $32.06

Yes position

Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $21.21

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $18.02

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $17.49

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $9.21

Yes position

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $5.9

No position

SBF released from custody in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 100,000 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 3,341.67 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 1,614.73 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 342.96 shares
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 39.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 610.87 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 409.84 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 446.43 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 0.01 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 877.19 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 1,660.58 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 301.19 shares