No position
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.07
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.05
Polymarket Trader
1694d
0x1f92271525d84331825f0261d4ba8bdf8e17835e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.09
- Realized PnL
- $13.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.07
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Claude 5 be released on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 99.3% 10.07 shares
- Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?No 99.3% 10.07 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No 98.3% 10.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No 99.2% 10.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No 97.3% 10.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No 99.2% 10.07 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.8% 1,012.15 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.8% 1,012.15 shares
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,007.04 shares
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 1,007.05 shares
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 1,009.08 shares
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 1,009.08 shares