Polymarket Trader

rt5

0x1f9a6bb5a404493ec31daca3819bc9845b4206be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $125.7
Realized PnL: $1.98K
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SPD, FDP, and Greens form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $125.7
Potential payout: $866.92
Potential profit: $741.22
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$91.03

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $730.91
Potential profit: $730.91
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $496.93
Potential profit: $496.93
User PnL: -$20

No position

Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.4
Potential profit: $71.4
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Meta buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $11.42
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Republican position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.31

No position

FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.96

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.76

No position

Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $316.18

No position

BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.15

No position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.86

Yes position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.55

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.17

No position

Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

No position

Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2024?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Zelensky remains President of Ukraine through September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will 2024 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Mar 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Biden endorse Kamala?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Trump blowout victory?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

2025 February hottest on record?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 25% 866.92 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?

Yes 4% 496.93 shares
Will another coalition form the next German Government?

Yes 0.2% 428.04 shares
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?

Yes 0.5% 334.42 shares
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?

Yes 29% 11.41 shares
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July?

No 91% 123.13 shares
Will another coalition form the next German Government?

Yes 0.2% 428.04 shares
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?

Yes 0.3% 334.41 shares
Will another coalition form the next German Government?

Yes 0.2% 856.08 shares
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?

Yes 0.3% 668.83 shares
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?

Yes 0.4% 445.88 shares
Will another coalition form the next German Government?

Yes 0.2% 570.72 shares