Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.65K
- Potential payout
- $17.4K
- Potential profit
- $15.74K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.07K
Polymarket Trader
0x1F9f212f7Ef3951BF2e5983443F3799e28dD5180-1772888190131
0x1f9f212f7ef3951bf2e5983443f3799e28dd5180
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.84K
- Realized PnL
- $55.07
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.56K
- User PnL
- -$92.32
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $21.45
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.88K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$172.54
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $144.86
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- -$69.61
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $571.87
- Potential profit
- $571.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $16.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $383.4
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$21.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.71
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.87
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.03
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.96
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.57
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$180
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.6% 400 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes 1.8% 2,400 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Yes 2% 756 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 90 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 0.1% 3,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 15% 529.53 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?No 1.7% 571.87 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes 1.3% 1,111.12 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 5.3% 945.96 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 3.1% 1,612.9 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes 96.5% 508.93 shares