jeli8

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $664.7
Potential profit: $664.37
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.31

Yes position

Tea FDV above $500M one day after launch

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.02
Potential profit: $617.02
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $540.73
Potential profit: $539.92
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (6/1-6/7)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.53
Potential profit: $525.53
User PnL: -$9.54

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $501.35
Potential profit: $501.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $465.45
Potential profit: $464.05
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $440.03
Potential profit: $439.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will Amazon acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $401.44
Potential profit: $400.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $395.94
Potential profit: $395.15
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $386.87
Potential profit: $385.71
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $365.01
Potential profit: $364.46
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $361.69
Potential profit: $360.06
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $358.03
Potential profit: $357.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $356.27
Potential profit: $354.84
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $341.33
Potential profit: $341.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.81

Yes position

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $330.18
Potential profit: $329.85
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.20 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $329.06
Potential profit: $328.74
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $325.48
Potential profit: $324.5
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $313.69
Potential profit: $312.28
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $308.93
Potential profit: $307.08
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.75
Potential profit: $305.75
User PnL: -$3.06

Yes position

Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $302
Potential profit: $297.17
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $300.82
Potential profit: $300.07
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $300.82
Potential profit: $300.22
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$3.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $7.38

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.87

$140 position

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $20 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?