Polymarket Trader

ElonfaX89678

0x1fa1be3eab546e06e4290839bf4c1d7abfbf1fa9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $340.85
Realized PnL: $308.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $340.85
Potential payout: $5.37K
Potential profit: $5.03K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $41.16

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$430.39

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.95
Potential profit: $999.95
User PnL: -$129.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $844.28
Potential profit: $844.28
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $592.39
Potential profit: $592.39
User PnL: -$157.91

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.56
Potential profit: $583.56
User PnL: -$134.22

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.51
Potential profit: $202.51
User PnL: -$34.43

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$13.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.64K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.19K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.14K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.72K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $963.08

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $902.9

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.22

Over position

Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.99

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $696.94

Over position

Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $599.4

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $560.46

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540

Over position

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.75

Over position

Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.39

Over position

FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.49

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $280.26

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.75

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $253.3

Yes position

Will OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 10,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 367.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 28% 89.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 27% 92.59 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 20.8% 38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 26.8% 372.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 16% 625 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 18% 555.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Down 34.6% 288.72 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 2,000 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.1% 2,000 shares
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Netherlands 23% 583.56 shares