Polymarket Trader

mutuallyinclusive

0x1faad82973cca96e51b52fc0022e34604f73406e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $179.41
Realized PnL: $688.91
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.51
Potential profit: $214.51
User PnL: -$74.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.06
Potential profit: $177.06
User PnL: -$67

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.47
Potential profit: $120.47
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.84
Potential profit: $113.84
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.65
Potential profit: $100.65
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $80.69
Potential payout: $80.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $29.87
Potential payout: $34.94
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $12.08
Potential payout: $30.2
Potential profit: $18.12
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$2.92

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.54
Potential profit: $28.54
User PnL: -$14.27

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $13.61
Potential payout: $25.68
Potential profit: $12.07
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $19.71
Potential payout: $25.43
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $14.37
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $13.15
Potential profit: $12.23
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$9.08

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $3.24
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $8.13
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.11
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$1.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.88

Yes position

Will Kimmel say "Disney" 2+ times during return show on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.83

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.23

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.66

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake news" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during the UK state banquet on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84

No position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (January 18)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.95

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (September 29 - October 5)

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "TikTok" during the Fox News interview on September 18?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Radical left" 3+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.68

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.3

Down position

XRP Up or Down on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 15, 4AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.62

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 34.94 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86% 80.69 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during resignation?

Yes 79.5% 12.59 shares
Will Starmer say "Deep" or "Deeply" during resignation?

Yes 82.8% 18.11 shares
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next PMQ?

Yes 58.4% 25.68 shares
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?

Yes 49.7% 30.2 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 22?

Up 83% 120.47 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?

No 69.6% 14.37 shares
Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "Save America Act" during June 24 Rally?

Yes 78.7% 25.43 shares
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during June 24 Rally?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares