Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
0x1FBa0f028c7A72f835Dbe43977A42c5f04a9e196-1768007031225
0x1fba0f028c7a72f835dbe43977a42c5f04a9e196
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.61
- Realized PnL
- $301.5
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.81
- Potential profit
- $220.81
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $107.61
- Potential payout
- $107.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $82.61
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
North Korea missile launch by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.79
- Potential profit
- $90.79
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.59
- Potential profit
- $87.59
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $61.73
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $39.22
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.38
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.37
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 17?Yes 11.3% 220.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?Yes 23.2% 107.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?Yes 28.5% 87.59 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 87% 34.48 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 97.6% 238.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Fake News" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 51% 39.22 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 63% 79.37 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 81% 61.73 shares
- North Korea missile launch by February 28?Yes 55.1% 90.79 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 99.8% 120 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 3.5% 1,142.86 shares