Polymarket Trader

skullface791

0x1fdcdc3979b43edee8fa4676726b4de131e33ad2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $97.74
Realized PnL: $1.4M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$173.4

Yes position

Will Portnoy give another 9+ review in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $986.13
Potential profit: $986.13
User PnL: -$584.72

Yes position

Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$27.25

Yes position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$79.2

Yes position

Will Trump reopen Alcatraz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.56
Potential profit: $167.56
User PnL: -$18.22

Yes position

US congress stock trading ban in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$79.9

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.24
Potential profit: $119.24
User PnL: -$35.69

Yes position

Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.27
Potential profit: $90.27
User PnL: -$35.05

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $84.01
Potential payout: $84.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $56.52

Yes position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.02
Potential profit: $81.02
User PnL: -$13.42

Yes position

Will Ezra Cohen be next National Security Advisor?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

AfD banned in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.9

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.97
Potential profit: $29.97
User PnL: -$8.09

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $13.72
Potential payout: $16.87
Potential profit: $3.15
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $8.49

No position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.52
Potential profit: $16.52
User PnL: -$11.24

Yes position

Kanye West arrested in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $12.05
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.22K

No position

Will the US add between 50k and 99k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.22K

No position

Will the US add between 150k and 199k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.21K

No position

Will the US add 200k or more jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.14K

No position

Will the US add less than 50k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.14K

Panthers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.7K

Lewis position

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.47K

Panthers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84K

Musetti position

French Open: Musetti vs. Alcaraz

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.23K

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.68K

Yes position

Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.32K

Swiatek position

Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W)

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.36K

Swiatek position

Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W)

Ends Jul 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.24K

Guardians position

Reds vs. Guardians

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69K

No position

Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.19K

Anisimova position

Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatek

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.19K

Bonfim position

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfim

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93K

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Panthers

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89K

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22K

Yes position

Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07K

Cobolli position

Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.89K

Yes position

Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.87K

Oilers position

Panthers vs. Oilers

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

No 95% 2,998.14 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 7.7% 6,457.79 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 69% 5 shares
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Yes 69% 5 shares
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?

No 68.3% 300 shares
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Yes 3.9% 26 shares
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Yes 4.2% 25 shares
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Yes 3.9% 30 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

No 98.6% 5 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

No 98.6% 5 shares
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?

Yes 10% 189 shares
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?

Yes 10% 10 shares