Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $42.83
- Potential payout
- $295.4
- Potential profit
- $252.56
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$37.17
Polymarket Trader
Rabarberna
0x1fdee5f6eadfe2c1c147ae7212cc2320c82bc8db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $154.01
- Realized PnL
- $149.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $44.15
- Potential payout
- $52.88
- Potential profit
- $8.72
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $30.88
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $26.78
- Potential payout
- $30.95
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $11.92
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.98
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.75
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.45
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 72% 44.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.9% 22.8 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 38.9% 26.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 96.5% 22.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 27.44 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 36.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 72% 11.44 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 81% 24.69 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 99.9% 28.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 75% 16 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 47% 21.28 shares
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 37.8% 26.46 shares